The property market has bid farewell to the era of general inflation. So, where to invest in real estate, where the potential for appreciation is greater?
This is a technical job. Very test the vision and level of investment property buyers. Some people say, follow the big real estate companies and buy them wherever they go to develop projects. Some people say that looking at the GDP of a city, it is right to invest in economically developed regions, such as the Yangtze River Delta and the Greater Bay Area urban agglomeration. Real estate companies buy land based on this logic.
Another expert put forward the city stock theory, he said, housing prices are the city’s “stock”. The more infrastructure investment in the city, the higher the gold content of urban construction,
Then the city’s “stock price”, that is, housing prices, should also be higher.
These theories all sound plausible. But it’s vague. Today, we will introduce to you a quantitative indicator for investment and real estate. Everyone may wish to listen to whether it makes sense.
This indicator is called the housing provident fund “intra-system contribution ratio”. This is a measurement index invented by a big financial V. He listed a “system strength” ranking to judge the investment value of the property market in different cities.
In this list, the 6 cities with the highest “institutional strength” are all in the north, and the 8 cities with the lowest are all in the south. The proportion of depositors in the system of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen is less than one third. The proportion of Suzhou with the weakest “system strength” is only 11.96%, which shows that the private economy is very active.
Private enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises in these places are relatively developed, with high economic activity and strong population competitiveness.
In the central and western regions, as well as the prefecture-level cities in the middle of the economic development level of the provinces, most of the “system strength” exceeds 80%, which means that “there is no world outside the system”. Most of these cities and regions have not been successful in their economic transformation. Their economy is heavily dependent on state-owned enterprises and government consumption, and they are also facing population loss. Naturally, the outlook for appreciation is not optimistic.